ANALYSIS OF EFFICIENT REGIONS FOR WIND POWER GENERATION IN KAZAKHSTAN

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Date

2024-05

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Nazarbayev University School of Engineering and Digital Sciences

Abstract

Global concerns about climate change and the decreasing of fossil fuels reserves have made renewable energy production a major priority. Wind energy is a well-established research area. However, identifying optimal regions for wind power production requires weighing multiple factors, including wind speed, density, availability, and the environmental consequence of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) productions, and application of decision analysis. The main purpose of this study is to analyze the regions of Kazakhstan and identify the optimal location for wind energy production using the decision analysis extension of multiattribute utility theory (MAUT). Previous literature conducted analyzing wind power potential in Kazakhstan has identified several promising locations for efficient wind energy production. However, the selection process did not involve mathematical analysis; instead, the choice was primarily determined by quantitative results obtained from empirical studies. This study identified seven favorable areas based on expected utility and a comprehensive study was conducted using the multiattribute utility function (MUF). This method facilitated the selection of wind energy projects in efficient regions, taking into account factors such as potential power production and GHG emission reduction potential. The study involves collecting data on the GHG emission reduction potential and wind speed, followed by analysis and decision making to identify practical wind energy projects. Moreover, the data analysis includes a questionnaire for the decision maker (DM). This made it possible to determine the optimal locations for installing wind farms based on the real preferences of an expert in the field of energy. The results based on the expected utility values showed that the most optimal location for installing a wind power plant is Fort-Shevchenko and Yereymentau. The results of the research project are critical for the development of wind energy in Kazakhstan and for identifying the most efficient regions for wind energy production using utility theory. This study contributes to the development of wind energy in Kazakhstan and provides information for decision-making processes on sustainable energy production.

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Citation

Aryngazin, A. (2024). Analysis Of Efficient Regions For Wind Power Generation In Kazakhstan. Nazarbayev University School of Engineering and Digital Sciences