QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF GROUND DEFORMATIONS FOR THE RISK MANAGEMENT OF PETROLEUM AND GAS PIPELINES USING RADAR INTERFEROMETRY

Abstract

The primary objective of these studies was to quantitatively assess the ground deformation velocities and rates and their natural and man-made controlling factors as the potential risks along the seismically active 70 km section of buried Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Oil, South Caucasus Gas, Western Route Oil and South Caucasus Pipeline Expansion Gas pipelines in Azerbaijan using Persistent Scatterer Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (PS-InSAR) technique.

PS-InSAR analysis showed that the continuous subsidence was prevailing in the kilometer range of 13-70 of pipelines crossing two active seismic faults. The ground uplift deformations were observed in the pipeline kilometer range of 0-13. The minimum and maximum vertical ground movement velocities were observed to be −21.3 mm/y and 14.1 mm/y along 70 km section of pipelines with 250 m buffer zone. Both of these sites were observed at the range of seismic faults. The spatial distribution of sites with ground deformation velocity less than −15 mm/y and more than 15 mm/y was diverse and random all along 70 km of pipelines without any cumulative spatial patterns.

Based on the lower mean, variation and standard deviation of pixel values, the seismic fault in the kilometer range of 21-31 revealed its higher vulnerability to subsidence processes rather than the Seismic Fault in the kilometer range of 46-54. The ground deformation velocities within the range of Seismic Fault KP21-31 revealed the minimum and maximum values of −19.74 mm/y and 14.1 mm/y, respectively whereas at the Seismic Fault KP46-54, the minimum and maximum values were −17.07 mm/y and 9.29 mm/y, respectively.

Encouraging level of agreement with the regression coefficients of 0.92 and 0.96 for known subsiding sites at KP28 + 500 and KP52 + 750 and 0.97 and 0.96 for known uplifting sites at KP04 + 900 and KP35 + 050 respectively was observed between the high-precision GPS and PS-InSAR measurements.

The diverse spatial distribution and variation of ground movement processes along pipelines demonstrated that general geological and geotechnical understanding of the study area is not sufficient to find and mitigate all the critical sites of subsidence and uplifts for the pipeline operators. The prediction of the potential subsidence or uplift locations based on the field visual verifications holds a lot of uncertainties without broad and detailed scale airborne and satellite space observation technologies. The justification of the budget for the geotechnical maintenance activities along long-range oil and gas pipelines requires sophisticated prioritization and planning of the remediation sites and clear quantitative and qualitative risk assessment proving the activeness of these sites and effectiveness of the remediation measures. This means that the PS-InSAR – based approach outlined in this paper is a significant improvement over current ground-based monitoring practices or can significantly contribute them in the initial phase of risk assessment and prioritization.